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CME Scoreboard: Prediction Detail

Prediction for CME (2021-10-06T17:38:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2021-10-06T17:38Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/17902/-1
CME Note: This CME is likely associated with an eruption visible on the Earth-facing disk from an unnumbered active region near S20W10 as seen in SDO AIA 193 starting around 2021-10-06T15:49Z. The eruption signature exhibits a notable dimming and some subsequent field line movement.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2021-10-10T22:41Z
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 3.0%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.0 - 4.0
Prediction Method: Average of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:

This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CME

Lead Time: 54.45 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2021-10-08T16:14Z

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